Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 7 at the 69

New York Giants 7 – San Francisco 49ers 17

(:49) 12-J.Gillan punts 52 yards to SF 17, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 9-S.Moore to SF 28 for 11 yards (46-Z.Barnes).

The Three Options

GO -1.36 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 62, worth +0.97 EP
58% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 69, worth -3.07 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model