Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 7 at the 90

New York Giants 7 – San Francisco 49ers 14

(3:42) 12-J.Gillan punts 45 yards to SF 45, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 9-S.Moore pushed ob at NYG 41 for 14 yards (33-D.Flannigan-Fowles).

The Three Options

GO -2.39 EP

45% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 83, worth +0.84 EP
55% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 90, worth -5.03 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (107 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model