Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Las Vegas Raiders 4th & 10 at the 69

Las Vegas Raiders 0 – Jacksonville Jaguars 0

(11:44) 6-A.Cole punts 56 yards to JAX 13, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer. 11-P.Washington to JAX 17 for 4 yards (87-M.Mayer).

The Three Options

GO -1.72 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 59, worth +2.52 EP
67% chance to fail: Jacksonville Jaguars takes over around their own 69, worth -3.78 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model