Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 19 at the 91

Minnesota Vikings 0 – Los Angeles Chargers 7

(2:24) 17-R.Wright punts 50 yards to LAC 41, Center-42-A.DePaola, downed by MIN-13-T.Felton.

The Three Options

GO -3.76 EP

27% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 72, worth +0.79 EP
73% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 91, worth -5.47 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (108 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model