Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 4 at the 71

New York Giants 13 – Philadelphia Eagles 10

(15:00) 12-J.Gillan punts 52 yards to PHI 19, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 2-J.Dotson to PHI 26 for 7 yards (31-N.Jones).

The Three Options

GO -1.12 EP

48% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +1.82 EP
52% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 71, worth -3.89 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model