Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 14 at the 60

Los Angeles Rams 0 – San Francisco 49ers 7

(7:11) 42-E.Evans punts 51 yards to SF 9, Center-47-A.Ward. 9-S.Moore to SF 9 for no gain (56-S.Dolac).

The Three Options

GO -1.14 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 46, worth +3.20 EP
69% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 60, worth -3.08 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model