Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 9 at the 74

Los Angeles Chargers 10 – Denver Broncos 7

(:11) 16-J.Scott punts 54 yards to DEN 20, Center-41-R.Lovato, fair catch by 19-M.Mims.

The Three Options

GO -1.50 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +0.17 EP
62% chance to fail: Denver Broncos takes over around their own 74, worth -2.54 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model