Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 12 at the 76

Pittsburgh Steelers 6 – Seattle Seahawks 7

(10:48) 3-C.Waitman punts 54 yards to SEA 22, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 15-T.Horton to SEA 30 for 8 yards (41-P.Wilson).

The Three Options

GO -2.12 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 64, worth +2.18 EP
68% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 76, worth -4.17 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model