Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 19 at the 59

Cincinnati Bengals 7 – Jacksonville Jaguars 14

What Actually Happened

(8:05) 8-R.Rehkow punts 50 yards to JAX 9, Center-46-W.Wagner. 11-P.Washington to JAX 13 for 4 yards (25-T.Brooks). ** Injury Update: JAX-22-J.Jones has returned to the game.

The Three Options

GO -1.26 EP

27% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 40, worth +3.49 EP
73% chance to fail: Jacksonville Jaguars takes over around their own 59, worth -3.06 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (76 yards).

The Verdict

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model