Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Jacksonville Jaguars 4th & 5 at the 73

Jacksonville Jaguars 3 – Carolina Panthers 3

(13:35) 9-L.Cooke punts 57 yards to CAR 16, Center-46-R.Matiscik. 23-T.Etienne ran ob at CAR 16 for no gain.

The Three Options

GO -1.25 EP

48% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 68, worth +1.76 EP
52% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 73, worth -4.06 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model