Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Kansas City Chiefs 4th & 11 at the 71

Kansas City Chiefs 0 – Philadelphia Eagles 24

(:34) 14-M.Araiza punts 42 yards to PHI 29, Center-41-J.Winchester. 33-C.DeJean to PHI 37 for 8 yards (50-S.Bozeman).

The Three Options

GO -1.84 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.07 EP
67% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 71, worth -3.30 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model