Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 5 at the 79

Los Angeles Rams 0 – Seattle Seahawks 0

(8:43) 42-E.Evans punts 51 yards to SEA 28, Center-47-A.Ward. 1-J.Darden ran ob at SEA 45 for 17 yards (20-R.Rivers).

The Three Options

GO -1.58 EP

49% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 74, worth +1.38 EP
51% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 79, worth -4.39 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (96 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model