Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 13 at the 73

Pittsburgh Steelers 0 – Kansas City Chiefs 0

(13:30) 8-C.Waitman punts 40 yards to KC 33, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 81-N.Remigio pushed ob at PIT 42 for 25 yards (46-C.Kuntz).

The Three Options

GO -1.99 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +2.70 EP
69% chance to fail: Kansas City Chiefs takes over around their own 73, worth -4.10 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model