Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 10 at the 62

Los Angeles Rams 0 – Arizona Cardinals 0

(7:23) 42-E.Evans punts 57 yards to ARI 5, Center-47-A.Ward, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -0.94 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +2.97 EP
64% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 62, worth -3.17 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model