Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 10 at the 70

Pittsburgh Steelers 7 – Baltimore Ravens 14

(6:03) 8-C.Waitman punts 42 yards to BAL 28, Center-46-C.Kuntz, fair catch by 35-D.King.

The Three Options

GO -2.01 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.58 EP
65% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 70, worth -3.99 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (87 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model