Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 15 at the 55

Minnesota Vikings 27 – Seattle Seahawks 24

(1:01) 17-R.Wright punts 38 yards to SEA 17, Center-42-A.DePaola, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -0.90 EP

29% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 40, worth +0.84 EP
71% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 55, worth -1.62 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (72 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model