Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Jacksonville Jaguars 4th & 13 at the 73

Jacksonville Jaguars 7 – Las Vegas Raiders 10

(9:14) 9-L.Cooke punts 55 yards to LV 18, Center-46-R.Matiscik. 8-A.Abdullah pushed ob at LV 37 for 19 yards (57-C.Johnson).

The Three Options

GO -2.35 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.94 EP
68% chance to fail: Las Vegas Raiders takes over around their own 73, worth -4.32 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model