Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 8 at the 63

Los Angeles Chargers 0 – Kansas City Chiefs 6

(3:38) 16-J.Scott punts 44 yards to KC 19, Center-47-J.Harris. 81-N.Remigio to KC 23 for 4 yards (58-S.Quarterman).

The Three Options

GO -1.42 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +1.88 EP
60% chance to fail: Kansas City Chiefs takes over around their own 63, worth -3.57 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model