Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Houston Texans 4th & 10 at the 70

Houston Texans 17 – Dallas Cowboys 10

(:45) 6-T.Townsend punts 52 yards to DAL 18, Center-46-J.Weeks, fair catch by 9-K.Turpin.

The Three Options

GO -1.77 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.35 EP
63% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 70, worth -3.59 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (87 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model