Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 10 at the 77

Los Angeles Chargers 13 – Tennessee Titans 7

(:18) 16-J.Scott punts 29 yards to TEN 48, Center-47-J.Harris, downed by LAC-47-J.Harris.

The Three Options

GO -1.71 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +0.41 EP
64% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 77, worth -2.88 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (94 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model