Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Tennessee Titans 4th & 5 at the 65

Tennessee Titans 7 – Los Angeles Chargers 13

(:43) 4-R.Stonehouse punts 52 yards to LAC 13, Center-46-M.Cox, fair catch by 12-D.Davis.

The Three Options

GO -1.40 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.37 EP
59% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 65, worth -3.33 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model