Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 8 at the 68

Pittsburgh Steelers 7 – Washington Commanders 7

(2:14) 8-C.Waitman punts 39 yards to WAS 29, Center-46-C.Kuntz, fair catch by 14-O.Zaccheaus.

The Three Options

GO -1.75 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.80 EP
61% chance to fail: Washington Commanders takes over around their own 68, worth -4.02 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model