Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 5 at the 65

Dallas Cowboys 6 – Philadelphia Eagles 21

(7:25) 5-B.Anger punts 53 yards to PHI 12, Center-44-T.Sieg. 33-C.DeJean to PHI 17 for 5 yards (18-D.Clark).

The Three Options

GO -1.09 EP

45% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +2.14 EP
55% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 65, worth -3.72 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model