Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 17 at the 55

Philadelphia Eagles 7 – Dallas Cowboys 3

(9:29) 10-B.Mann punts 55 yards to end zone, Center-49-R.Lovato, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.32 EP

29% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 38, worth +3.20 EP
71% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 55, worth -3.14 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (72 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model