Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 New York Giants 4th & 9 at the 69

New York Giants 3 – Philadelphia Eagles 28

(6:44) 38-M.Haack punts 56 yards to PHI 13, Center-59-C.Kreiter, fair catch by 33-C.DeJean.

The Three Options

GO -1.51 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +2.04 EP
63% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 69, worth -3.63 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model