Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 10 at the 60

New York Giants 0 – Philadelphia Eagles 0

(11:39) 38-M.Haack punts 34 yards to PHI 26, Center-59-C.Kreiter, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.03 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +2.99 EP
65% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 60, worth -3.15 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model