Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 8 at the 68

Los Angeles Chargers 0 – Pittsburgh Steelers 0

(12:38) 16-J.Scott punts 47 yards to PIT 21, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 19-C.Austin.

The Three Options

GO -2.10 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.76 EP
65% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 68, worth -4.19 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model