Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Tennessee Titans 4th & 5 at the 65

Tennessee Titans 17 – Chicago Bears 24

(6:03) 4-R.Stonehouse punts 55 yards to CHI 10, Center-46-M.Cox. 11-D.Carter to CHI 11 for 1 yard (15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine, 44-M.Brown).

The Three Options

GO -1.08 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.78 EP
56% chance to fail: Chicago Bears takes over around their own 65, worth -3.36 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model