Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 8 at the 68

Los Angeles Chargers 16 – Las Vegas Raiders 10

(9:40) 16-J.Scott punts 41 yards to LV 27, Center-47-J.Harris. 11-T.Tucker pushed ob at LV 48 for 21 yards (43-T.Dye).

The Three Options

GO -1.76 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +2.01 EP
65% chance to fail: Las Vegas Raiders takes over around their own 68, worth -3.80 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model