Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 8 at the 69

Dallas Cowboys 7 – Cleveland Browns 3

(13:03) 5-B.Anger punts 46 yards to CLE 23, Center-44-T.Sieg, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.47 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 61, worth +1.95 EP
59% chance to fail: Cleveland Browns takes over around their own 69, worth -3.88 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model