Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Cleveland Browns 4th & 15 at the 69

Cleveland Browns 0 – Houston Texans 0

(12:32) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 52 yards to HOU 17, Center-47-C.Hughlett, fair catch by 25-D.King.

The Three Options

GO -2.48 EP

26% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +2.35 EP
74% chance to fail: Houston Texans takes over around their own 69, worth -4.20 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model