Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 10 at the 64

New York Giants 24 – Philadelphia Eagles 0

(1:12) 6-J.Gillan punts 44 yards to PHI 20, Center-59-C.Kreiter, fair catch by 18-B.Covey.

The Three Options

GO -1.47 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +2.22 EP
67% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 64, worth -3.31 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (81 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model