Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 San Francisco 49ers 4th & 17 at the 82

San Francisco 49ers 20 – Los Angeles Rams 21

(4:00) 18-M.Wishnowsky punts 61 yards to LA 21, Center-46-T.Pepper. 81-A.Trammell to LA 34 for 13 yards (36-J.McNichols; 53-D.Winters).

The Three Options

GO -2.55 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.19 EP
68% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 82, worth -4.34 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (99 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model