Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 17 at the 64

Los Angeles Rams 26 – New York Giants 19

(3:49) 42-E.Evans punts 58 yards to NYG 6, Center-46-C.Tinker. 80-G.Olszewski for 94 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

The Three Options

GO -1.81 EP

28% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 47, worth +1.31 EP
72% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 64, worth -3.00 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (81 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model