Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 14 at the 85

Philadelphia Eagles 17 – New York Giants 3

(8:37) 10-B.Mann punts 54 yards to NYG 31, Center-45-R.Lovato. 80-G.Olszewski to NYG 37 for 6 yards (21-S.Brown; 47-B.Smith).

The Three Options

GO -2.77 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 71, worth +1.49 EP
68% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 85, worth -4.80 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (102 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model