Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 14 at the 89

Los Angeles Rams 7 – Seattle Seahawks 16

(:37) 42-E.Evans punts 65 yards to SEA 24, Center-47-A.Ward. 31-D.Dallas to SEA 36 for 12 yards (18-B.Skowronek).

The Three Options

GO -3.12 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 75, worth +1.15 EP
69% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 89, worth -5.06 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (106 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model