Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Las Vegas Raiders 4th & 8 at the 73

Las Vegas Raiders 10 – Miami Dolphins 14

(1:18) 6-A.Cole punts 61 yards to MIA 12, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.07 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.27 EP
63% chance to fail: Miami Dolphins takes over around their own 73, worth -4.03 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model