Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 New York Giants 4th & 14 at the 98

New York Giants 0 – Dallas Cowboys 0

(5:26) 6-J.Gillan punts 42 yards to NYG 44, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 42-D.Vaughn to NYG 46 for -2 yards (30-D.Holmes).

The Three Options

GO -4.45 EP

30% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 84, worth -0.14 EP
70% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 98, worth -6.28 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (115 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model