Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 8 at the 73

New York Giants 0 – Dallas Cowboys 21

(2:58) 6-J.Gillan punts 58 yards to DAL 15, Center-59-C.Kreiter, downed by NYG-30-D.Holmes.

The Three Options

GO -2.05 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.65 EP
65% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 73, worth -4.07 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model