Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 8 at the 73

Pittsburgh Steelers 7 – Tennessee Titans 3

(2:03) 6-P.Harvin punts 54 yards to TEN 19, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 33-E.Garror to TEN 18 for -1 yards (13-M.Boykin).

The Three Options

GO -1.81 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.98 EP
63% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 73, worth -4.06 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model