Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 New York Giants 4th & 6 at the 80

New York Giants 3 – New York Jets 0

(4:55) 6-J.Gillan punts 41 yards to NYJ 39, Center-59-C.Kreiter, fair catch by 82-X.Gipson.

The Three Options

GO -2.02 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 74, worth +1.37 EP
59% chance to fail: New York Jets takes over around their own 80, worth -4.40 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model