Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Jets 4th & 8 at the 88

New York Jets 7 – New York Giants 3

(:53) 5-T.Morstead punts 55 yards to NYG 33, Center-42-T.Hennessy. 80-G.Olszewski pushed ob at NYG 48 for 15 yards (52-S.Eguavoen; 42-T.Hennessy).

The Three Options

GO -2.88 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 80, worth +0.50 EP
61% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 88, worth -5.03 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (105 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model