Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Kansas City Chiefs 4th & 19 at the 72

Kansas City Chiefs 24 – Los Angeles Chargers 17

(:28) 5-T.Townsend punts 48 yards to LAC 24, Center-41-J.Winchester, downed by KC-2-J.Williams.

The Three Options

GO -2.24 EP

29% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 53, worth +2.61 EP
71% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 72, worth -4.19 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model