Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 8 at the 63

Los Angeles Chargers 0 – Kansas City Chiefs 0

(12:07) 16-J.Scott punts 46 yards to KC 17, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 12-M.Hardman.

The Three Options

GO -1.62 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +2.03 EP
61% chance to fail: Kansas City Chiefs takes over around their own 63, worth -3.93 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model