Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 12 at the 59

Los Angeles Rams 14 – Philadelphia Eagles 23

(2:50) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at LA 28 for -13 yards (7-H.Reddick).

The Three Options

GO -1.62 EP

What Happened

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 47, worth +0.69 EP
69% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 59, worth -2.67 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (76 yards).

Chose GO Model wanted PUNT instead — cost +0.54 EP