Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Las Vegas Raiders 4th & 15 at the 62

Las Vegas Raiders 0 – Green Bay Packers 0

(6:37) 6-A.Cole punts 55 yards to GB 7, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.50 EP

27% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 47, worth +2.97 EP
73% chance to fail: Green Bay Packers takes over around their own 62, worth -3.18 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model