Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 6 at the 68

Cleveland Browns 3 – Baltimore Ravens 7

(13:41) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 46 yards to BAL 22, Center-47-C.Hughlett, fair catch by 13-D.Duvernay.

The Three Options

GO -1.19 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 62, worth +2.30 EP
58% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 68, worth -3.68 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model