Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Tennessee Titans 4th & 8 at the 75

Tennessee Titans 6 – New Orleans Saints 3

(:01) 4-R.Stonehouse punts 62 yards to NO 13, Center-46-M.Cox. 22-R.Shaheed ran ob at NO 13 for no gain.

The Three Options

GO -2.36 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +1.23 EP
63% chance to fail: New Orleans Saints takes over around their own 75, worth -4.46 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model