Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4th & 10 at the 71

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0 – Dallas Cowboys 24

(8:18) 5-J.Camarda punts 49 yards to DAL 22, Center-97-Z.Triner. 9-K.Turpin to DAL 22 for no gain (27-Z.McCollum).

The Three Options

GO -2.01 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 61, worth +2.14 EP
67% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 71, worth -4.09 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model