Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 15 at the 55

Los Angeles Rams 16 – Seattle Seahawks 13

(9:42) 11-R.Dixon punts 41 yards to SEA 14, Center-42-M.Orzech, fair catch by 16-T.Lockett.

The Three Options

GO -1.19 EP

27% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 40, worth +3.17 EP
73% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 55, worth -2.83 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (72 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model